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Who's the real storm guru?

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Well, the gibbon didn't make a monkey out of me.

Back in June, against the hurricane predictions by three of the highest-profile, super computer-driven forecasters, The Post and Courier staked predictions by Whoop Whoop the white-handed gibbon, trance medium Elizabeth Baron, a dart thrower in a bar and a lame reporter — me.

Meanwhile, nearly half the readers who voted in an online poll predicted the ape would be the most accurate.

The idea was to tweak the noses of weather experts spewing out a slew seasonal predictions that many people dismiss as little more than educated guesses.

Boy, are their noses sore. The season ends today, and for the second year in a row it was milder than the "experts" called for. Among our select group, the only one who came close to getting it right was...was...wait for it...

The trance medium.

Baron, of Goose Creek, never doubted, she said. "Because I prayed. I've been very fortunate that the Holy Spirit gives me this stuff."

She nailed the number of hurricanes that formed — six. She came within two of the number of storms that became intense (having winds more than 110 mph.); there were two; she

predicted four. Everybody else predicted more. Whoop Whoop's banana-grabbing predictions were lower than only those of Frank Wilcox, the dart thrower.

Wilcox, who threw in the Windjammer bar on Isle of Palms, was disappointed. He hoped he'd at least do better than the gibbon, he said. But he didn't think much of "expert" predictions when he threw the darts, and he doesn't think any more of them now.

His dart came the closest to predicting how many hurricanes would make landfall on the East Coast. He popped "1." Gabrielle was the lone strike, brushing the Outer Banks in North Carolina as a tropical storm near hurricane strength.

"I think it's all a matter of who has the most skill," Wilcox said, laughing. "The only thing I'm good at is breaking things at work."

Whoop Whoop didn't have much to say for himself when he heard the results. He slouched down on the wire mesh of his cage at the International Primate Protection League in Summerville, perched his hand under his chin like The Thinker and gazed forlornly away.

The other gibbons didn't help, taunting, "Whoop whoop! Whoop whoop!" with their singsong calls.

Baron, who makes a profession out of making predictions, didn't mind the spoof.

"I'm not always right because the world has its limitations. We're not perfect," she said.

In my defense, the forecasters who called for a busier than usual season were surprised by cooler than normal temperatures and persistent shear winds. I quote from my June prediction, "The waters off the Lowcountry shore stayed cooler longer this year, and spring storms kept coming out of the Northeast."

So to the readers who voted 10-to-1 that Whoop Whoop the white-handed gibbon would be more accurate than I and more than 5-to-1 that the ape would out-predict Baron —

C'mon, who's your daddy?

What happened vs. what they predicted

Reader predictions

East Coast

Hurricanes Intense landfall

How it really went in 2007 6 2 1

National Hurricane Center 7-10 3-5 No


William Gray-Phil Klotzbach 9 5 50%


North Carolina State University 8-9 4-5 2-4

Whoop Whoop the white-handed gibbon 12 5 (hid under

his "blankie")

Dart Thrower Frank Wilcox 13 7 1

Trance Medium Elizabeth Baron 6 4 2

Reporter Bo Petersen 9 6 2

Ninety-eight people cast their votes at predicting who would be the most accurate at predicting hurricanes:

Reporter Bo Petersen 4% 4 votes

Trance medium Elizabeth Baron 7% 7 votes

Dart thrower Frank Wilcox 18% 18 votes

Hurricane forecaster William Gray 29% 29 votes

Whoop Whoop the gibbon 40% 40 votes

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