hurricane season peak

As Irma dies away, hurricane worries don't go with it. Jose is circling around out there and just might come calling. Forecasters are watching a storm in the far Atlantic and by next week could be watching two more.

Sunday was the peak of the storm season. From here on out, there's a smaller chance each day that a tropical system will start spinning, based on a 100-year average. But on Sunday, that average was one per year. Not until late October do the odds drop off significantly. On each day from late August through early October, at least one tropical cyclone has formed every other year on average. 

Hurricane Matthew, which ravaged the Southeast coast beaches in 2016, didn't form until Sept. 28. The season isn't over until the end of November.

Multiple storms in the Atlantic are not unusual this time of year. But this season is the first one on record when four Category 4 hurricanes — Hugo-like monsters capable of inflicting disastrous damage — spun in the basin at the same time: Harvey, Irma, Jose and Katia.

Hurricane Jose was losing strength Monday as it started to turn a long, slow loop in the ocean, a few hundred miles east of the Bahamas. As the hurricane comes out of that loop later this week, it's expected to start drifting up into warm, hurricane-fueling waters off the Southeast coast, with winds still at least 74 mph.

Computer runs suggest the storm will keep out to sea about halfway between Cape Hatteras, N.C., and Bermuda, said Mark Malsick, S.C. Climate Office severe weather liaison. But that's not for certain.

"We really need to monitor the progress of Hurricane Jose as it meanders in the Atlantic around an area of high pressure. There is some indication of it getting a nudge towards the Southeast coast by next weekend," said meteorologist Shea Gibson with the forecasting company WeatherFlow.

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Science and environment reporter. Author of Washing Our Hands in the Clouds.