Airfare bargains may be flying away

By DAVID KOENIG and JOSHUA FREED, Associated Press
Sunday, August 1, 2010



Good times are finally back for the nation's airlines. For travelers, that means it's getting harder to find bargains.

The summer travel season got off to a roaring start, fares are up and money is rolling in from fees on services such as checked baggage.

The six biggest U.S. airlines earned about $1.3 billion in the second quarter, and more profits are expected for the rest of the year. Even so, airlines still are woozy from the one-two punch of record-high fuel prices followed by a recession. Those six big carriers lost $22.7 billion in 2008 and 2009.

There were plenty of fare sales when the airlines were struggling to fill seats. Now those seats are in demand, so deals are less common. And travelers are paying for "extras" such as an aisle seat, checking bags and buying a ticket over the phone, things that used to be part of the fare.

Here's a look at what travelers can expect in the months ahead:

Fares, fees

The airlines are hooked on fees after two years of using them to overcome high fuel prices and then slumping travel demand. A study shows that worldwide, carriers took in $13.5 billion from fees in 2009, a 43 percent jump in just one year. "Fees are going to stick, and they're going to become more pervasive," says Jay Sorensen, a former airline executive who is president of consulting firm IdeaWorks, which did the study.

United and American led the way on "ancillary revenue," including fees, at about $1.8 billion apiece last year, according to IdeaWorks. United Airlines President John Tague calls fees "an unequivocal success" and suggests his airline still could double the amount it's bringing in with baggage fees.

Everyone is watching to see if travelers pay Spirit Airlines' fee of $45 for some carry-on bags on flights starting today. Most of the big airlines have promised they won't follow Spirit's lead.

Airlines have been able to boost ticket prices, too. Summer fares are up an average of 18 percent, according to figures from a trade group for the big airlines.

Travel demand will taper off as fall approaches. Continental Airlines already is seeing that.

Still, airlines will try to avoid slashing prices. Rick Seaney, CEO of FareCompare.com, says the airlines are getting better at waving sale prices in front of customers but selling most seats at higher fares.

Packed planes

Planes are stuffed like never before. Including regional flights, Delta filled 88 percent of its seats in June, Continental sold 87 percent and American 86 percent -- that's about 2 percentage points higher than last summer. All three service Charleston International Airport, where Delta is the dominant carrier.

"Leisure demand has been strong, and we expect it will remain so throughout the remainder of the summer," Continental CEO Jeff Smisek told analysts.

Continental also hinted that demand is trailing off. Advance bookings for the next six weeks are running behind last year's pace.

Normally, when airlines start making money after a slump, they're tempted to add new flights to snag returning travelers. This time might be different. Sluggish bookings and concern about the weak economic recovery will put pressure on airlines not to add flights that might operate half-empty.

Labor pains

Several large U.S. airlines are in the middle of labor negotiations that could lead to higher costs and even disruptions for travelers.

The most acute problems are at American, where flight attendants and some ground workers are talking about possible strikes this fall. American's parent, AMR Corp., spends 30 percent of its revenue on labor compared with 18 percent to 22 percent at other big airlines.

Unions at UAL Corp.'s United and Continental Airlines Inc. need to work out a contract that will take effect if the airlines complete their planned merger. Delta faces unionization votes by flight attendants and ground workers.

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