Asteroid will give Earth a fly-by

  • Posted: Friday, February 8, 2013 12:01 a.m.
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This simulation shows asteroid 2012 DA14 approaching from the south as it passes through the Earth-moon system. NASA scientists insist that there is no chance of a collision as it passes.

But don’t worry. Scientists promise that the megarock will be at least 17,100 miles away when it zips past next Friday.

“No Earth impact is possible,” Donald Yeomans, manager of NASA’s Near-Earth Object program at Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, Calif., said Thursday.

Even the chance of an asteroid-satellite collision is extremely remote, Yeomans and other scientists said. A few hundred satellites orbit at 22,300 miles, higher than the asteroid’s path, although operators are being warned about the incoming object for tracking purposes.

Impossible to see with the naked eye, the asteroid is considered small as these things go. By contrast, the one that took out the dinosaurs 65 million years ago was 6 miles wide.

Yet Asteroid 2012 DA14, as it’s known for its discovery date, still could pack a wallop.

If it hit Earth — which it won’t, scientists were quick to add Thursday — it would release the energy equivalent of 2.4 million tons of TNT and wipe out 750 square miles. That’s what happened in Siberia in 1908, when forest land around the Tunguska River was flattened by a slightly smaller asteroid that exploded about five miles above ground.

The likelihood of something this size striking Earth is once in every 1,200 years. A close, harmless encounter like this is thought to occur every 40 years.

Most of the solar system’s asteroids are located between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter, and remain stable there for billions of years. Some occasionally pop out though, into Earth’s neighborhood

The closest approach of this one will occur next Friday afternoon over Indonesia.

There won’t be much of a show. The asteroid will zip by at 17,400 mph, roughly eight times faster than a bullet from a high-speed rifle.

The asteroid will be invisible to the naked eye, and even with binoculars and telescopes will appear as a small point of light. The prime viewing locations will be in Asia, Australia and eastern Europe.

Observers in the U.S. can pretty much forget it. Astronomers using NASA’s deep-space antenna in California’s Mojave Desert will have to wait eight hours after the closest approach to capture radar images.

Scientists welcome whatever pictures they get. The asteroid offers a rare opportunity to observe something this big and close, and any new knowledge will help if and when another killer asteroid is headed Earth’s way.

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